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Revisions to the mainstream residential market forecasts

UK Residential – June 2020

Report

Autoren: Lucian Cook , Lawrence Bowles , Jim Ward , Jacqui Daly

Reihe: Savills Spotlight

Anbieter: Savills

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  • Erscheinungsdatum : 16.06.2020
  • Seiten : 5 Seiten
  • Datei-Typ : PDF-Datei
  • Größe : 623,90 kB
  • Sprache(n) : Englisch

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Inhalt

Pandemic disruption will impact the market this year, but Savills is standing by their five-year forecasts

Savills published their first note on coronavirus and the housing market in March assuming a short-lived but significant economic downturn, where unemployment spiked but fell back relatively rapidly with a limited long term impact on the economy.

Given low levels of price growth in the run-up to the crisis, very low costs of debt, significant short-term government support for jobs and lender forbearance we expected that falls in the average value of the UK home to be contained to 5–10%. However, Savills did not have enough information to be confident in being more specific than that. At the time it was unclear how long and to what extent social distancing would restrict activity in the housing market. But it was clear that there would be a significant impact on transaction levels in the short term.

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