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Shopping Centre and High Street Spotlight

UK Commercial – Q3 2021

Report

Autoren: Mat Oakley , Marie Hickey , Joshua Arnold

Reihe: Savills Spotlight

Anbieter: Savills

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  • Erscheinungsweise: Quartalsweise
  • Berichtszeitraum: 3. Quartal 2021
  • Erscheinungsdatum : 29.10.2021
  • Seiten : 6 Seiten
  • Datei-Typ : PDF-Datei
  • Größe : 658,18 kB
  • Sprache(n) : Englisch

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Inhalt

Improving occupational story is starting to filter through to the shopping centre and high street investment markets

UK retail consumer and occupational trends

Retail sales remain elevated compared to pre-Covid levels, despite consumer concerns over inflation and supply chain shortages

After six months of post-lockdown improvement, the UK's consumer sentiment has begun to be hindered by anticipated rising living costs amidst headlines of fuel shortages, supply chain disruption and surging energy bills. Subsequently, GfK's overall consumer index dropped five points in September to -13. Despite month-on-month declines, this is still largely in line with the 2019 monthly average of -12.6.

Meanwhile, the major purchase index dropped three points to -6, as high inflation begins to take its toll on spending habits. The ONS Retail Price Index (RPI) reported a 4.9% year-on-year rise in September 2021, the highest growth recorded since November 2011. This heightened inflation is expected to be temporary, in line with disruption to supply chain and staffing shortages; however, Oxford Economics is currently forecasting that year-on-year UK RPI levels will remain above 3% until at least Q2 2023.

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